Live · Refreshed 2 min ago · FY 2025–26 Q3

Agency overtime is tracking 12% above plan,
driven by Train Operations vacancy coverage.

Your forecast model projects $6.10M next month at P50, with 94% accuracy. Hiring 24 new operators would deliver an estimated $2.19M net annual benefit.

Open scenario ↗
Period · FY 25–26 QTD Department · All (12) Classification · All Reason · All + Add filter
Overtime Spend · QTD
$18.42M
▲ 12.4%vs. prior quarter
Budget vs Actual
112%
+ $1.96M over
Forecast Accuracy · 90d
94.2%
▲ 1.8 ppmodel v3.2
Active Fraud Alerts
7
2 high-risklast 7 days
Overtime spend & forecast trajectory
Weekly accruals · 26 weeks actual + 4 weeks projected
All departments
Actual spend Budget plan Forecast (P50) Forecast band (P10–P90)
$2.0M $1.5M $1.0M $0.5M Today · W26 W26 · Actual $1.34M +12.4% YoY W1W6 W11W16 W21W26 W30
Hire vs Overtime · cost-benefit scenario
Train Operators · Q3 fiscal sensitivity model
Scenario v4
New hires (FTE)24
060 FTE
Avg fully-loaded salary$118,000
$80K$160K
OT hours displaced / yr54,000
080,000
Onboarding ramp (months)4 mo
1 mo12 mo
Annual hire cost$2.84M
Overtime cost avoided$4.61M
Risk-adjusted injury savings$0.42M
Net annual benefit+ $2.19M
Forecast model performance
Predicted vs Actual · trailing 90 days · v3.2
Healthy
94.2%
Mean Absolute % Accuracy
P50 next 30d
$6.10M
P90 upper
$6.92M
Confidence
High
✦
Model insight · Anomalous spike forecasted in W28 driven by holiday coverage gap in Stations. Consider proactive scheduling.
Department performance
Top 6 departments by overtime spend · QTD · click any row to drill in
Sort · OT spend ↓ View all 12 ↗
Department OT Spend vs Budget Forecast Q-end Approval Quality Top Reason Trend Status
TO
Train Operations
M. Chen · 412 staff
 $5.92M +18.4% $8.10M 82% Vacancy coverage Over budget
MW
Maintenance of Way
D. Patel · 286 staff
 $3.84M +6.2% $5.20M 94% Emergency repairs Watching
PD
BART Police
A. Reyes · 184 staff
 $2.78M +3.8% $3.62M 91% Special events Watching
PM
Power & Mechanical
J. Okafor · 198 staff
 $2.14M −2.1% $2.84M 96% Project work On track
ST
Stations
L. Adetola · 232 staff
 $1.97M +4.4% $2.55M 85% Sick coverage Watching
RS
Rolling Stock
S. Iverson · 156 staff
 $1.42M −5.7% $1.86M 93% Inspections On track